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J.K. Lundblad's avatar

Great work Human Progres

Trade is the ultimate peacekeeper. Another reason I take issue with policymakers who attempt to use tariffs in the name of national security.

It’s ironic that, in times of war, one of the best paths to winning is to cut one’s enemies off from trade routes. Yet, today, many policymakers reverse this logic, claiming that cutting oneself off from trade routes somehow makes one's nation strong. Now you have tariffs on steel, aluminum, copper, cars, and even kitchen cabinets, being enacted in the name of national security.

Then, to cap it all, these trade restrictions actually raise the likelihood of conflict, as I wrote:

A study by Solomon Polachek and Carlos Seiglie found that with every doubling of trade volume between nations, the probability of belligerence fell by about 20 percent. This finding is robust, holding across different cultures and political systems. More than any other factor, trade promotes human flourishing and peace on Earth.

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